edge-ledger

every model answers the same bar · nothing here can place an order loading…

Price, forecasts, and how hard each model leaned

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These chips only show and hide lines — which models are actually asked (and billed) is MODELS in .env. Arrows sit on the bar a model actually saw. Select one and its claim is drawn forward: the target it is betting on, the stop that would beat it, and how long it has to get there. The lower panel is each model's lean over time — the dotted line is 0.5, which means "I don't know".

Scoreboard

ModelScoredHit rateBrier ConfidenceSpend

Latest forecasts

Why it said that

Select a forecast to see its reasoning, and what the call cost.